Formal centennial climate

Vaughan R. Pratt
Stanford University
December, 2024

The three MATLAB scripts producing the data in the paper Formal centennial climate are as follows.
runcc.m analyzes the six decades 1974:10:2024
TSIresid.m compares detrended HadCRUT5 against TSI (Figure 1 in the paper).
runcentp.m analyzes up to PRSNT (Figure 2 and the table in the paper)

The three data files read by runcentp.m can be downloaded here.

HadCRUT5.csv. This data was obtained from this csv file from the Met Office Hadley Centre.

CO2.csv. This data was obtained from ice core yearly data before 1958 merged with Mauna Loa data thereafter.

TSI.csv. This data was obtained from Leif Svalgaard's reconstruction of TSI up to 2014, supplemented with G. Kopp's more recent data. Kopp also has a historical reconstruction, which agrees with Svalgaard's in phase and frequency but has lower amplitude. Phase and frequency are all that matters for Figure 1 of our paper, since multiple linear regression takes care of any differences in amplitude by yielding a higher Rs in Kopp's case, thereby reconciling the differences in amplitude. Essentially the same Rg is estimated with either TSI time series.

Vaughan Pratt
Friday December 13, 2024